01 November 2006

Football Playoff Predictions, Year 2, Week 1

Last year, I made some playoff predictions for MHSAA and MPSA football. I thought I'd do it again this year. My predicted winners are in bold.

MHSAA playoffs

2A
Leflore County, Region 4 #4 @ Baldwyn, Region 1 #1
Bruce, Region 2 #3 @ West Tallahatchie, Region 3 #2
Belmont, Region 1 #4 @ Hollandale Simmons Region 4 #1
Shaw, Region 3 #3 @ Eupora, Region 2 #2
Ackerman, Region 2 #4 @ West Bolivar, Region 3 #1
Riverside, Region 4 #3 @ Okolona, Region 1 #2
Ruleville, Region 3 #4 @ Calhoun City, Region 2 #1
Mantachie, Region 1 #3 @ Leland, Region 4 #2
Bassfield, Region 8 #4 @ Enterprise Clarke Region 5 #1
Amite County, Region 6 #3 @ Bay Springs, Region 7 #2
Clarkdale, Region 5 #4 @ East Marion, Region 8 #1
Mize, Region 7 #3 @ Wesson, Region 6 #2
Hinds AHS, Region 6 #4 @ Taylorsville, Region 7 #1
Perry Central, Region 8 #3 @ Union, Region 5 #2
McLaurin, Region 7 #4 @ St. Andrew's, Region 6 #1
Kemper County, Region 5 #3 @ Lumberton, Region 8 #2

I've predicted three schools from regions 3 and 6 to advance to the second round. For some reason, I'm not all that confident in Region 3 schools. As far as Region 6 is concerned, it's matched up with Region 7. With Heidelberg being on probation this year and three schools in that region moving up in the standings, I believe that the Region 6 schools can pick up three wins. Taylorsville, however, should advance.

3A
Greenwood Elzy, Region 4 #4 @ Ripley, Region 1 #1
Houston, Region 2 #3 @ Independence, Region 3 #2
Booneville, Region 1 #4 @ South Delta, Region 4 #1
Holly Springs, Region 3 #3 @ Amory, Region 2 #2
South Pontotoc, Region 2 #4 @ Senatobia, Region 3 #1
Charleston, Region 4 #3 @ Kossuth, Region 1 #2
Water Valley, Region 3 #4 @ Nettleton, Region 2 #1
Corinth, Region 1 #3 @ Cleveland East Side, Region 4 #2
Prentiss, Region 8 #4 @ SE Lauderdale, Region 5 #1
Crystal Springs, Region 6 #3 @ Tylertown, Region 7 #2
Forest, Region 5 #4 @ Raleigh, Region 8 #1
South Pike, Region 7 #3 @ Hazlehurst, Region 6 #2
Raymond, Region 6 #4 @ Franklin County, Region 7 #1
Greene County, Region 8 #3 @ Carthage, Region 5 #2
Columbia, Region 7 #4 @ Yazoo County, Region 6 #1
Velma Jackson, Region 5 #3 @ Collins, Region 8 #2

I've predicted a few more upsets in 3A. With the exception of Senatobia, I'm just not that confident in Region 3 schools. My reasoning may be a bit irrational though. Charleston was a finalist last year and could do well against Kossuth. I don't know why I chose Corinth-- it's just a guess. Greene County may have a good chance against Carthage. I can't believe I'm not picking South Pike to win, but they're facing the defending 3A champs in the first round and on the road.

4A
NE Lauderdale, Region 4 #4 @ West Point, Region 1 #1
Oxford, Region 2 #3 @ Ridgeland, Region 3 #2
Itawamba AHS, Region 1 #4 @ Kosciusko, Region 4 #1
Pearl, Region 3 #3 @ Lafayette County, Region 2 #2
Cleveland, Region 2 #4 @ Yazoo City, Region 3 #1
West Lauderdale, Region 4 #3 @ Shannon, Region 1 #2
Canton, Region 3 #4 @ Clarksdale, Region 2 #1
Tishomingo County, Region 1 #3 @ Louisville, Region 4 #2
St. Stanislaus, Region 8 #4 @ Wayne County, Region 5 #1
Brookhaven, Region 6 #3 @ Vancleave, Region 7 #2
West Jones, Region 5 #4 @ Picayune, Region 8 #1
Gautier, Region 7 #3 @ McComb, Region 6 #2
Mendenhall, Region 6 #4 @ Forrest AHS, Region 7 #1
Long Beach, Region 8 #3 @ Laurel, Region 5 #2
D'Iberville, Region 7 #4 @ Terry, Region 6 #1
Petal, Region 5 #3 @ Poplarville, Region 8 #2

I also picked a few upsets in 4A. All are 3 vs. 2 games. Region 3 schools haven't done well in the playoffs lately, so thinking that the trend might continue, I picked three Region 2 schools to advance to the second round. I also picked three Region 4 schools to advance to the second round. I understand that West Lauderdale has a reputation of having a decent defense and that might help them win on the road. Region 5 schools are tough this season and should win three of four against Region 8 schools. Picayune should be the only Region 8 school to win. Three Region 6 schools should win as well.

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